Regarding pitch counts: Lackey vs. Verlander

With all this talk during the Fox broadcast regarding pitch counts here is a look at how John Lackey and Justin Verlander perform as their pitch counts increases. They both have held opposing batters to a .219 batting average after 100 pitches but Verlander’s home run rate sees a steady increase from 1.4% (1-50 pithches), 2.7% (51-100 pitches) and 3.8% (101+ pitches). Unlike Verlander, Lackey’s home run rate decreases over time but it also starts at 3.9% (1-50 pitches) and eventually drops to 3.1%.

2013 Pitch Count Performance: John Lackey
 Pitches G PA P AVG SLUG OPS Chas% Miss% K% BB% HR%
1-50 29 376 1,450 .235 .408 .675 31.2% 23.8% 23.4% 4.3% 3.9%
51 -100 29 368 1,311 .262 .423 .739 30.2% 18.9% 17.7% 6.5% 3.3%
101+ 14 34 113 .219 .375 .640 36.9% 32.3% 23.5% 0.0% 3.1%

2013 Pitch Count Performance: Justin Verlander
 Pitches G PA P AVG SLUG OPS Chas% Miss% K% BB% HR%
1-50 34 404 1,700 .262 .366 .689 28.4% 23.4% 22.5% 8.2% 1.4%
51-100 34 412 1,637 .254 .389 .717 31.7% 24.6% 23.5% 9.5% 2.7%
101+ 30 109 355 .219 .362 .603 35.3% 24.3% 26.6% 2.8% 3.8%

Comments

  1. Matthew Fitch says:

    Those numbers can be misleading. Generally speaking, pitchers only get to 100+ pitches in outings when they are doing very well. What would be a much better comparison is to look at pitches 1-50 and 50-100 only in those games where the pitcher went 110+

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